Prediction Market Trader Leaderboard
Prediction-market sports wallets ranked four ways — every record rebuilt from on-chain settlement and independently verifiable.
FAQ
What do all four boards require? Every board starts from the same baseline: at least 30 settled sports bets, an average stake of $25 or more, a positive long-run return, and no wallets that win almost every time while earning almost nothing — that is a habit of backing heavy favourites, not skill. Each board's own bar sits on top of this.
How is the Win streak board ranked? A wallet needs a current run of 5 or more, ranked by run length. The streak resets to zero the moment it breaks. Wallets above an 80% lifetime win rate are excluded — that is usually a long habit of backing favourites, not form.
How is the Hot hand board ranked? A wallet needs 70% or better across its last 10 tracked bets, ranked by that rate. Buys at an average price above 0.95 are excluded, so the window can span more than ten settled positions. It reads short-term form, not long-run skill. As on the win-streak board, wallets above an 80% lifetime win rate are excluded.
How is the Sharp Money board ranked? Ranked by average bet size. The order reflects stake size only, not how often a wallet wins — though every listed wallet has cleared the baseline, so all of them return a profit over the long run.
How is the Veteran board ranked? A wallet needs 50 or more settled bets and a lifetime win rate between 55% and 90%, ranked by long-run return — durability rather than a hot spell.
How is this track record verified? Every track record is computed from public on-chain settlement data and shown permanently in order — nothing is hidden or edited after the fact.
Is this betting advice? Observation of public on-chain activity, not betting advice.